Conceal Caption President Donald Trump went back to the White House from his Florida holiday retreat on Monday night, explaining that he’s ready for upcoming policy fights in 2018, as the President swears to press for action in Congress on cash for a wall along the Mexican border, immigration law modifications, well-being reform, and other GOP legal concerns.
“Much work to be done, but it will be an excellent Brand-new Year!” the President tweeted on New Year’s morning, as he navigated a seventh straight day of golf at his West Palm Beach, Florida club.
Here’s a few of what we can anticipate as 2018 unfolds:
1. Search for the President– and Republicans– to trumpet brand-new tax cuts. It was their greatest achievement of 2017, and with key mid-term elections for Congress set for November, it’s likely that Mr. Trump and GOP lawmakers in Congress will utilize the brand-new tax law as their most significant point of advertising in coming months. Numerous Republicans said in late December that they hope approval of the tax changes will supply some momentum for other legislative work in 2018– but with pressure from upcoming elections, it will be fascinating to see what else GOP leaders can get through your home and Senate.
2. GOP edge diminishes in the Senate. As Congress starts the second session of the 115th Congress on Wednesday, Democrat Doug Jones of Alabama will be sworn into workplace, cutting the Republican majority in the Senate to 51-49. If you tuned out from the news over the holiday break, you missed out on Republican Roy Moore not just choosing not to concede defeat, but submitting a claim to block Jones from being accredited the winner of that Senate seat. The margin for Jones actually grew after military ballots, late absentees, and provisionary ballots were arranged, as Democrats will have their very first Democratic Senator from the Yellowhammer State because Howell Heflin retired after the 1996 elections. The change makes it even more hard for the GOP to get their agenda through the Senate.
3. Next government shutdown deadline– January 19. As legislators go back to work– the Senate on Wednesday, and your home next week– they do not have much time to determine an offer on financing government operations for the existing , which began in October. President Trump has made sounds about requiring Congress to approve cash for a wall along the Mexican border, however there still do not seem to be majorities in either your home or Senate for the border wall. Republicans want more cash for the defense budget– as much as $54 billion more this year, and next year, too. But Democrats have actually signaled that if the Pentagon is getting more cash, then they desire extra for domestic programs as well. Considering that the GOP doesn’t have 60 votes in the Senate, they cannot push through a one-sided strategy. It’s unclear where this is going.
4. Legislative agenda for 2018– well-being reform, facilities, and ?? With a plan of GOP tax cuts for people and services now law, it’s not precisely clear where Republican politicians and President Trump attempt to go next in the Congress. The President has talked about well-being reform– GOP leaders in your house have actually talked about cuts to privilege programs like Medicaid; but both of those might be controversial. The President has actually discussed pushing for increased spending for brand-new roads and bridges, but nearly a year into the task, the GOP has actually not released a facilities strategy, as many GOP legislators oppose the idea of such additional costs. It’s unclear if Mr. Trump’s project pledge of $1 trillion in new facilities will make it through Congress or not in 2018.
5. Will there be an immigration/DACA offer? Over the Christmas break, the President explained that if there was going to be any legislative offer on unlawful immigrant “Dreamers” who were safeguarded under the Obama Administration’s DACA program, then Democrats need to accept some migration determines that Republicans prefer. For Mr. Trump and numerous other Republicans, 3 main problems remain in play– money for a wall along the Mexican border, an end to so-called ‘chain’ migration, where extended family members are allowed to come to the United States to sign up with someone who has actually been allowed to the country lawfully, and exactly what’s known as the ‘Variety Visa Lotto” program. While Democrats aren’t really thinking about any of those, they do not have the utilize to force the President to just accept a strategy to legalize the DACA Dreamers. This will be an interesting battle in the next 2 months.
6. A story you might have missed over the holiday break? As the Senate finished up work prior to Christmas, lots of elections made by President Trump were gone back to the White House by the Senate. While the Senate does not reveal which Senators lodged an objection versus which candidates, it was presumed in the halls of the Capitol that Democrats were accountable, as they have actually been secured an unlimited battle with the GOP over Trump elections of all kinds. The majority of the candidates weren’t family names, but some were for big positions, like Alexander Azar to head the Department of Health and Human Services, and Rep. Jim Bridenstine (R-OK) to lead NASA. Starting Wednesday, once the second session of Congress convenes, then the President can re-submit those nominations, or discover brand-new choices for 100 different positions.
7. Russia examination not disappearing anytime quickly. With two indictments and 2 guilty pleas, Unique Counsel Robert Mueller appears to just be at the beginning of his examination. Probes of possible Russia links to the Trump project also continue in both the Home and Senate Intelligence committees. The Inspector General of the Department of Justice is likewise examining how the FBI managed both the Clinton email investigation, and the start of the probe involving Russian interference in the U.S. elections in 2016. Meanwhile, 2 sets of committees in the House are also looking at the FBI’s conduct, the Trump file, the Clinton e-mail probe, the Clinton Foundation, and the Uranium One deal during the Obama Administration. In other words, there is ample fuel to keep this story going for another year, no matter what fans of the President may say.
8. Get ready for the 2018 mid-term elections. Democrats completely think they can turn both your house and Senate in this year’s elections, and most of the legal tussling on Capitol Hill in coming months need to be framed by the November elections. What we saw in 2017 was a huge surge for Democratic turnout, and a downturn in Republicans going to the surveys– Alabama’s Senate race is a perfect example. Poll after poll has actually shown an edge in the “generic ballot” for Congress, providing Democrats a double digit advantage, which ought to equate into large gains. A lot can still occur in between now and November, but the standard knowledge is that 2018 will be an uphill battle for Republican politicians in Congress, and President Trump. We’ll see if that works out, or not.
9. New Year begins with increasing anger at press– from Democrats. Among the growing stories in recent months has been the growing discontent on the political left versus journalism. We already understand the President believes there is a lot of “Phony News” written about him and his administration, a familiar talking point for Republicans. Now, more and more Democratic activists are joining the attacks on the press– their reasoning is a bit different– as they feel the news media isn’t really being hard enough on the President. The focus of numerous of those feelings is the New York Times, which broke the Hillary Clinton email story, something that her backers feel need to never have actually been a story worth a paper’s ink. One side believes we are too difficult on President Trump. The other side believes we aren’t hard enough on President Trump. Here’s an example from Brian Fallon, who was the national press secretary for Hillary Clinton’s 2016 campaign.
10. Presidential golf was bad, then it readied. Let’s develop something at the top– I am all for Presidents playing golf. I like the game of golf, and I think it’s an excellent method for a President to get out of the White Home and unwind. However let’s be truthful. Even prior to he was a prospect for President– and after that repeatedly throughout the 2016 campaign– Donald Trump mocked President Barack Obama for playing golf, rather of dealing with issues in Washington. “While our terrific president was out playing golf all the time, the TSA is breaking down, similar to our federal government!” Mr. Trump tweeted in 2016. Throughout 2009, Mr. Obama played golf 27 times in his first year in office– in 2017, Mr. Trump more than tripled that. On his recent journey to his Florida retreat at Mar-a-Lago, the President played golf nine of the 10 days he was gone from the White Home. At this speed, Mr. Trump most likely will not catch Woodrow Wilson, who played an estimated 1,200 rounds while President– however the second location figure of Dwight Eisenhower (over 800 rounds) could be within reach. Something of note that changed a bit this past week– the White Home numerous times made public who was playing golf with Mr. Trump. That info was seldom divulged in 2017.
Stay tuned. 2018 should be a busy year in U.S. politics.